Friday, May 4, 2007

Bastards do Boxing: Mayweather v. De La Hoya

Hold up, hold up! Dude, you got a boog!

Tomorrow evening, the sports world will finally get to witness one of the most anticipated boxing matches in the last decade. Unfortunately, the fight will probably be boring to watch with both boxers mainly keeping their distance relying on quick one-two combos and counterpunch opportunities. (tummysticks analysis in italics) Watching De La Hoya get punched over and over in the face is never boring and that is going to happen in this fight.

Expect Mayweather to dominate the first 2 minutes of each round (on points) by merely stepping in, delivering several blows and stepping out. These combos won't be terribly damaging, but will score consistently considering De La Hoya's lack of steady defense. The tide may turn then in the final 30 seconds with De La Hoya's patented round stealing fury of fists to close each round. De La Hoya also has a patent pending on owning one judge per fight that will give him a decision even if he never throws a punch and pees his pants in between rounds. Each round may come down to whether Mayweather can successfully avoid this closing fury by Oscar, which I expect him to consistently do. Unfortunately, the boxers' styles put the fight in the judges' hands and god knows what can happen then.

However, I expect Mayweather's speed and acccurate punching to be just to much for De La Hoya to handle round in and round out. De La Hoya will follow Mayweather around the ring looking for opportunities, swing, miss and get countered. Mayweather wins the first 6 rounds on points. Mayweather can't be beat by Oscar unless he gets cocky, sloppy, or his crazy dad throws gasoline on him and sets him on fire during the fight.

Going into the later stages of the fight, Mayweather's confidence may get the best of him. De La Hoya is still a very dangerous puncher - its what has gotten him through his career. That and owning judges. If Mayweather's confidence gets the best of him and he gets sloppy, the Golden Boy may be able to punish Mayweather for his arrogance and for stealing his luggage. De La Hoya has always been a great finisher, maybe one of the best finishers ever, and if he does manage to hurt Mayweather, things could get very, very interesting. Unfortunately, I expect Mayweather to remain all business in the ring and frustrate De La Hoya until the final bell rings. Once the final bell rings all bets are off as Mayweather goes back to the villan role he took before the fight. He could punch Oscar's wife, Oscar's mom, or wrestle a bear and it wouldn't surprise me.

All in all, I expect De La Hoya to steal a few rounds with his late fury, but Mayweather to hold up and remain undefeated. I'm calling it 117-111 Mayweather. Mayweather will win, I will drink lots of beers, and Mayweather Sr. will still be really really scary looking.


Anonymous said...

I think the real winner in this boxing match is society.

chutta said...

Well said. I couldn't agree with you more even if you pushed gassy and clumsy mentally challenged children away from my vehicle.

Brave Sir Robin said...

I watched that fight. It was not great. The early rounds were okay, and the last round was alright. There is no way any judge in his right mind could have scored Oscar to win it. The little guys aren't as fun to watch anyway. Boxing sucks now.

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